National Newswatch

Although the Liberals still score marginally higher on the Nanos Party Power Index, the Conservatives have reached their highest score since August 2013 and the gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives is the closest since that period at only two points on the 100 point scale. The weekly tracking suggests a seven week positive trajectory for the Tories although they still score lower than the Liberals. The Tory movement has been largely driven by increasingly positive scores in Ontario and Quebec.

The Nanos Party Power Index methodology is comprised of a basket of political goods that includes ballot preferences, accessible voters, preferred PM views and evaluations of the leaders. It is modeled similar to a standard confidence index. It is a random telephone survey conducted with live agents, reaching out to Canadians through a land- and cell-line dual frame sample.

The latest weekly tracking on the Index has the Liberals at 56 points out of a possible 100 points, followed by the Conservatives at 54 points, the NDP at 48 points, the Green Party at 31 points and the BQ at 27 points (QC only).

Harper has hit a new 12 month high on the preferred Prime Minister measure, while Trudeau and Mulcair are near their 12 month average. Asked who they would prefer as PM, Harper was at 34 per cent, followed by Trudeau at 31 per cent, Mulcair at 17 per cent, May at four per cent and 13 per cent were unsure.

Asked a series of independent questions as to whether they would consider or not consider voting for each of the federal parties, 52 per cent of Canadians would consider voting Liberal while 43 per cent would consider voting Conservative, 43 per cent would consider voting NDP and 24 per cent would consider voting for the Greens.

Readers should note that with more than 12 months of weekly tracking, Nanos is now calculating highs, lows and averages for the key Nanos tracking variables in the public domain. This will allow our subscribers and clients to better contextualize the data.

Read the full Nanos Research report here…

Click here for more political news headlines