May 28 2023 — David Coletto — Abacus Data — Analyzing the final poll of an election is both an exciting and anxiety-inducing exercise, especially when the election is close. Throughout the pre-campaign and campaign periods in Alberta, I’ve tried to offer a deeper understanding of what’s going on in the province, starting with our first survey back in December. That survey suggested that Danielle […]
May 17 2023 — David Coletto — Abacus Data — Over the weekend we released a new poll that found the NDP taking a lead over the UCP. Several other polls have been released or leaked which have found varying results – from a large UCP lead to a large NDP lead. So I wanted to verify and update the province-wide picture and conducted a […]
May 17 2023 — David Coletto — Abacus Data — From May 9 to 12, 2023, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,500 adults exploring several topics related to Canadian politics and current events as part of our regular national omnibus surveys. In this analysis, I share the latest federal vote intention results. If an election was held at the time of the survey, […]
May 15 2023 — David Coletto — Abacus Data — In a recent national survey conducted by Abacus Data, Canadians were asked to assess the Prime Minister and Leader of the Opposition: Justin Trudeau and Pierre Poilievre – on several attributes. The survey aimed to gauge public perception of the politicians’ competence, kindness, understanding of people’s lives, whether they hide their true beliefs, and if […]
May 13 2023 — David Coletto — Abacus Data — With just over two weeks to go in the Alberta provincial election, a new survey of 885 eligible voters in Alberta by Abacus Data finds the Alberta NDP jumping ahead of the UCP after several months of near or complete deadlock in vote intentions between the two parties. In this report, I’ll share results from […]
May 9 2023 — David Coletto — Abacus Data — Late on April 30, Canada’s largest public-sector union and the federal government reached a tentative agreement ending one of the largest strikes in Canada’s history. For the previous 11 days, 120,000 public servants were on strike. A few days later, the government also reached a tentative agreement with PSAC members working for the Canada Revenue […]
May 9 2023 — David Coletto — Abacus Data — We conducted a national survey at the beginning of the month to explore public perceptions of a Conservative government led by Pierre Poilievre. We asked respondents whether they thought such a government would or wouldn’t undertake a list of actions and whether a Conservative government should or shouldn’t do the same things. The intention was […]
May 4 2023 — David Coletto — Abacus Data — A few days before King Charles III’s coronation, a new poll from Abacus Data finds that 2 in 3 Canadians would vote to eliminate the monarchy in Canada as impressions of King Charles III worsen from the last survey in 2020. From April 28 to May 3, Abacus Data interviewed 1,750 Canadian adults and asked […]
May 4 2023 — David Coletto — Abacus Data — From April 28 to May 3, 2023, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,750 adults exploring several topics related to Canadian politics and current events as part of our regular national omnibus surveys. In this analysis, I update our regular tracking of opinions and attitudes toward Canadian politics with a specific focus on the […]
May 1 2023 — David Coletto — Substack — Last Wednesday, my polling firm Abacus Data released the first report from our pre-election Alberta survey. We surveyed 1,000 eligible voters from April 21 to 25. We also released some new data on the top issues on Friday. It’s expected that the provincial election will officially begin today and I expect a lot of focus […]
Apr 27 2023 — David Coletto — Abacus Data — On Wednesday, my polling firm Abacus Data released the first report from our pre-election Alberta survey. We surveyed 1,000 eligible voters from April 21 to 25. That report showed that the UCP and NDP are deadlocked at 36% apiece province-wide and statistically tied among those most likely to vote.
Apr 26 2023 — David Coletto — Abacus Data — As the start of the Alberta provincial election approaches, Abacus Data conducted a comprehensive province-wide survey of 1,000 eligible voters from April 21 to 25 to understand the dynamics of public opinion in the province and to track questions previously asked in our surveys. Note that this survey was conducted prior to the Calgary event […]
Apr 25 2023 — David Coletto — Substack — So much attention is paid to the horserace, even when we are likely at least a year or more from the next federal election. I think it’s far more valuable to understand how a party might grow or shrink by focusing on its accessible pool of voters. This is the second installment of my in-depth […]
Apr 17 2023 — David Coletto — Substack — So much attention is paid to the horserace, even when we are likely at least a year or more from the next federal election. I think it’s far more valuable to understand how a party might grow or shrink by focusing on its accessible pool of voters. This is the first installment of my in-depth […]
Apr 3 2023 — David Coletto — Substack — A few thoughts on polling in this high-stakes, unpredictable race with a crowded field of low recognition candidates and a short campaign period. As the 2023 Toronto Mayoral race begins, one thing is becoming increasingly clear: this election is unlike any other in Toronto or even Canadian history.