National Newswatch

Justin Trudeau’s byelection record puts him in the murky middle

Dec 3 2018 — Eric Grenier — If you’re looking for clues on what to expect in next year’s federal election, byelections are a good place to start. Yes, individual byelections can hinge on local issues and well-known candidates, making it perilous to draw broader conclusions from the results. But they’re also the only moments between general elections when real voters are […]

Liberals confirm they’re running against Singh as byelections planned for February

Nov 21 2018 — Eric Grenier — NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh will get his chance to enter Parliament in February, when the Liberal government holds byelections to fill the three remaining vacancies in the House of Commons, CBC News has confirmed. The Liberals recently called a byelection in the Ontario riding of Leeds–Grenville–Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes for Dec. 3, leaving vacancies […]

Maxime Bernier’s People’s Party claims 30,000 ‘founding members’

Oct 31 2018 — Eric Grenier — Maxime Bernier has signed up just over 30,000 “founding members” of his People’s Party of Canada, according to figures provided to CBC News. Bernier, who finished second to Andrew Scheer in the 2017 Conservative leadership race, left his former party in the summer in order to set up his own political organization. The Quebec MP […]

Two byelections were set to test Jagmeet Singh – and now he may face a third

Oct 25 2018 — Eric Grenier — Another potential byelection, another tough test for NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh. There’s going to be another vacant seat in the House of Commons; NDP MP Sheila Malcolmson announced Wednesday she will resign her B.C. seat of Nanaimo–Ladysmith to make the jump to provincial politics. Her announcement means another potential Commons vacancy before the 2019 general […]

With a week to go, John Tory is still on track for re-election

Oct 16 2018 — Eric Grenier — With a week to go before Monday’s municipal vote in Toronto, John Tory’s re-election odds are looking very good. The incumbent mayor holds a wide and steady lead over his rivals, enjoys strong support among the older Torontonians most likely to cast a ballot and appears set to add the suburbs that voted for Doug […]

Here’s what pollsters missed on Quebec’s vote — and what those lapses mean for the 2019 federal election

Oct 11 2018 — Eric Grenier — Quebec’s historic election presented a challenge to pollsters. It wasn’t until after the results showed that the polls had largely fallen short that the extent of that challenge became clear — explaining in part why the polls missed the mark and providing some lessons that pollsters will take into the 2019 federal election. Going into […]

Quebec, N.B. elections show voters are open to something new

Oct 4 2018 — Eric Grenier — Voters in Canada appear to be in the mood for something a little different. In two provincial elections in as many weeks, significant breakthroughs were made by parties formed so recently that, if they were voters themselves, they’d be too young to cast a ballot. The older, established parties — the ones that have a […]