Stephen Harper’s proposed ban on federal civil servants wearing niqabs ricocheted down the campaign trail Wednesday, drawing condemnation from opponents and Muslim groups. He says Conservatives are examining Quebec’s Bill 94, which requires Muslim women or others who wear face coverings to remove them if they want to work in the public sector — or […]
A woman’s right to wear a niqab has been a hot topic on the hustings, but when it comes to actually casting a ballot, it hasn’t been an issue for Elections Canada in eight years. Women who show up to vote on Oct. 19 wearing a face covering won’t be forced to remove it to […]
Liberals continue to edge upward, NDP downward. In our latest horserace numbers, the Conservatives have 33% across the country, the Liberals 32%, and the NDP 24%. For both the Conservatives and Liberals these are the best levels of support we’ve seen since the election started; for the NDP, it is the lowest number we’ve seen.
As a Canadian federal election campaign consumed by a vote-influencing, poll-driven dynamic gallops toward the finish line, the most venerable name in public opinion research is abandoning the horse race field south of the border. Gallup, which has been tracking presidential races since 1936, says ongoing methodological problems prompted the global firm to abandon horse […]Read More
The daughter of Green Party leader Elizabeth May is among a group of candidates from B.C. whom the party is using as ballot place-holders to ensure representation in all 78 Quebec ridings. Cate May Burton, 24, is the listed Green candidate in the riding of Berthier-Maskinongé, north of Montreal. Like other Green candidates in Quebec, […]Read More
A Liberal candidate in London, Ont., is blaming what he calls a divisive political atmosphere for spurring vandals to deface his election signs with ethnic slurs. Khalil Ramal, who is running in London-Fanshawe, says up to 35 of his signs have been vandalized throughout the riding. A photo posted online shows the words “ARAB scum” […]Read More
The Conservatives are announcing added parental leave benefits under employment insurance, including extending the length of time mothers and fathers would have their jobs protected. Party leader Stephen Harper said Wednesday a Tory government would provide up to 18 months of job protection for new parents, up from the current federal Labour Code provisions that […]Read More
Our election forecast, based on recent polls and historical data, projects the likelihood that a given party would win the most seats, if an election were held today. Our algorithm was designed in consultation with political scientist Paul Fairie (read more about how it works). This page will be updated frequently with new polls. Scroll […]Read More
Montreal’s La Presse is endorsing Justin Trudeau’s Liberals in the 2015 election. In an editorial published this morning, the newspaper says Trudeau is ready to lead the country. The editorial says it’s time for a change after nine years of Conservative rule. It says both the NDP and the Liberals are viable options — but […]Read More
This election is about change. Some 70% of us say we want it. But Canadians have been up and down on who they trust to deliver it. It’s made the last year a wild ride, but the end is in sight and I think some important lessons are emerging for progressives of all stripes. Let’s […]
The word out of the Conservative camp the past few days was that Stephen Harper was ready to move beyond the battle against the niqab, the push to deport dual citizens convicted of terror-related offences and the promise of a new tip line to report “barbaric practices.” That stuff had worked well, Tories said, in […]
The NDP seems to be losing. How come? By the time you read this, their barrage of anti-Trudeau attack ads may have put them back in contention. And perhaps Thomas Mulcair had a good showing in that final French-language debate, and he clobbered Stephen Harper. And maybe the party has figured out a way to […]
That screeching sound is the great, careening, orange juggernaut hitting the brakes on the race to the centre. Instead, in the waning days of the 2015 election campaign, Tom Mulcair has returned to the NDP of yore, opposing a major trade deal, citing union statistics to back his case, conjuring memories of Liberal John Turner’s […]
Successful campaigns are framed by simple, even simplistic messaging. The message is usually more resonant if it crystallizes a popular policy commitment. But nuance doesn’t usually work, as Ed Broadbent discovered in Canada’s first free trade election. “Strong, proud and dumb,” is how many Harper haters would translate the government’s uninspiring slogan, more of a […]
The dairy farmers have been bought off to accept what they don’t like about the Trans-Pacific Partnership, but it’s not so easy to use money to cover the political repercussions in the auto sector. And that’s more of a conundrum for Justin Trudeau than anyone else. Stephen Harper, the Conservative Leader, has promised billions to […]
Thomas Mulcair is desperately trying to regain momentum and he’s seizing an issue dear to the old NDP: the knee-jerk protectionist reaction against free trade. To paraphrase the NDP Leader, who has said Conservative Leader Stephen Harper “never met a war he didn’t like,” the NDP never saw a free-trade deal it didn’t hate.
The announcement of the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal, two weeks before the election, is a game-changer for all parties. After nine weeks of a campaign that has been mostly a chronicle of wasted time — from Mike Duffy to the niqab — there’s finally an important issue to discuss other than the ballot question of […]
This week’s Trans-Pacific Partnership deal is a good one — indeed, it’s essential — if Canada is to continue to prosper through trade. But one narrow aspect of this broad deal the Conservatives are clamouring to take credit for is, in fact, a massive sellout of consumers’ interests. It’s the supply management provision that “saves” […]
It might not be the shortest news release ever from an Alberta government, but it’s got to be close. Just 40 words in two sentences — pretty much a tweet — from Alberta’s minister of agriculture and forestry, Oneil Carlier. The topic: the Alberta government’s response to Canada signing on to the monumental trade deal […]
Multiculturalism Minister Jason Kenney really makes a person think, but not in a good way. He was caught tweeting praise of an Iraqi refugee boy’s “perfect unaccented English.” “I simply found it remarkable that a youngster who did not speak a word of English a year ago has learned so quickly that he sounds like […]Read More
October 1 marked an important day for Alberta. It’s when the province officially moved away from a single 10 per cent tax rate on personal income to a system with five separate brackets. Rates will increase on incomes over $125,000 and the top marginal rate will increase by 50 per cent. This is yet another […]Read More
In the 1980s, Nova Scotia’s premier was John Buchanan an intelligent, beguiling politician of whom it was once said “he is a tough man to disbelieve even when you know he’s lying.” In Alberta in the ‘90s, it was Ralph Klein. Despite his personal foibles, Klein was so good at populist, retail politics he almost […]Read More
American actor Randy Quaid has been arrested again and is scheduled to appear before the Immigration and Refugee Board in Montreal on Thursday. The circumstances behind the arrest — his second in Montreal this year — are unclear, but his wife tweeted late Tuesday that her husband had been detained.