A Federal Election is Imminent
After months of speculation, a federal election appears imminent. Prime Minister Mark Carney, only recently installed as Liberal leader, is...
David Coletto
While National Newswatch does not keep an archive of external articles for longer than 6 months, we do keep all articles written by contributors who post directly to our site. Here you will find all of the contributed and linked external articles from David Coletto.
Conservative lead down to 4 as Liberals reach highest vote share since August 2021
From March 10 to 12, 2025, Abacus Data surveyed 1,700 Canadian adults online asking our core federal political tracking questions...
Conservative lead down to 4 as Liberals reach highest vote share since August 2021
From March 10 to 12, 2025, Abacus Data surveyed 1,700 Canadian adults online asking our core federal political tracking questions...
Carney vs. Poilievre: Unpacking Public Perceptions
Canada is on the cusp of a federal election featuring two relatively fresh faces: Prime Minister Mark Carney, newly at...
What Canadians think about Canada joining the European Union
Starting in 2025, the new US administration confronted the Canadian public with all sorts of threats. We detected in recent...
The NDP is in deep trouble - Exploring the reasons why the party could see its vote collapse this year.
Over the past week, I’ve been taking a closer look at what is holding back the NDP in the eyes...
Previously, on inFocus with David Coletto - A recap of where we've come and what to look for as the post-Trudeau era begins.
Over the past month on this site, I’ve examined how Justin Trudeau’s resignation, the looming election of a new Liberal...
From Scarcity to Uncertainty: The Changing Mindset of Canadians
For the past few years, Canadians have navigated a scarcity mindset, shaped by housing shortages, rising costs, strained healthcare, and...
How would Poilievre and Carney have voted in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Imagine, for a moment, that Justin Trudeau, Pierre Poilievre, Jagmeet Singh, Elizabeth May, and Mark Carney all had a ballot...
What is the likelihood you would vote Conservative?
In my latest Abacus Data survey, 41% of committed voters say they would vote Conservative. That’s down 4-points from two...
The Opinion Landscape in Canada Continues to Shift
From February 20 to 25, 2025, Abacus Data conducted a nationally representative survey of 1,500 Canadian adults. We find that...
Ontario Election 2025: PCs headed for a big majority
On February 24 and 25, 2025, we conducted our final poll of the 2025 Ontario provincial election with a representative...
Can the Conservatives Paint Carney as ‘Trudeau 2.0’—and Will It Stick?
Over the past few weeks, the Conservative Party and Pierre Poilievre have amplified their social media presence with a barrage...
A Memo to Canada's Political Leaders
There’s an undeniable spirit among Canadians right now: most of us (84%) feel deeply connected to a greater Canadian identity...
Trudeau, Poilievre, Ford, and Smith: How are they doing handling the Canada-U.S. file?
Everything is about Donald Trump these days. In our issue tracking, he has become the second most cited issue. And...
Ontario Election 2025: Pre-Debate, PC lead drops as Ford’s negatives rise. Ontario Liberals clearly in second.
From February 13 to 15, 2025, we conducted a representative online survey of 1,500 eligible voters in Ontario. This is...
Pierre Poilievre's Rubicon - How he handles "Trumpitis" will determine whether he wins big this spring
Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party will hold a big rally in Ottawa today, drawing supporters from across Ontario and...
"Ok, Boomer" Why Baby Boomers might be the Liberal Party's saviours
If you’ve been watching Canadian politics over the last few weeks, you might think the defining generational split is all...
Conservatives lead by 19 as Liberal vote share rises at the expense of the NDP
From February 5 to 11, 2025, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 3,000 adults. For this survey, we did...
Conservatives lead by 19 as Liberal vote share rises at the expense of the NDP
From February 5 to 11, 2025, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 3,000 adults. For this survey, we did...
Ontario Election 2025: A Stable Race with Some Dynamic Undercurrents
From February 4 to 6, 2025, we conducted a representative online survey of 2,000 eligible voters in Ontario. This is...
Introducing Lora-Lynn, Sophie, and Tony: The typical voters of today’s Liberal Party of Canada
In a previous column for The Hub, I explored the “core” Liberal Party base, estimating it to be surprisingly small...
The Canadian news and information ecosystem is more fragmented than ever.
I remember the exact moment I first heard that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau was going to resign. It was early...
What's the ballot question going to be?
In my last national Abacus Data survey, I asked some questions I think shine a bright light on the interplay...
What Americans think about Canada, tariffs, and a possible trade war
It’s been over a week since President Donald Trump’s inauguration and we are waiting to see whether he imposes the...
"The largest, fairest, most balanced, and modern trade agreement ever achieved."
According to the recent Abacus Data poll of 1,500 Americans, a slight majority (52%) say the USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement)...
Mark Carney is more likely to expand the Liberal Party’s voter pool than Chrystia Freeland
With Prime Minister Justin Trudeau stepping down and a new Liberal leader set to be announced on March 9, 2025...
Mark Carney is more likely to expand the Liberal Party’s voter pool than Chrystia Freeland
With Prime Minister Justin Trudeau stepping down and a new Liberal leader set to be announced on March 9, 2025...
As Election Kicks Off, Ontario PCs lead by 23: Why Doug Ford is well positioned to be re-elected.
As the Ontario provincial election is about to get started, we conducted a survey of 1,021 eligible voters in the...
Abacus Data Poll: Conservative lead drops, but Liberals still 21-points behind
Our latest poll tracking opinions about Canadian politics was conducted from January 22 to 26, 2025 and interviewed 2,205 Canadian adults.
Here's why dumping the carbon tax or capital gains tax changes won't be enough for the Liberals.
I was on CTV’s Question Period last weekend talking about the Liberal leadership race and what I thought the Liberals...
Does Poilievre have a Trump problem?
The inauguration of Donald Trump as President of the United States earlier this week has introduced a renewed sense of...
The Rise, Fall, and Resignation of Justin Trudeau: Charting a Decade of Abacus Data Polling on the Prime Minister
When Justin Trudeau led the Liberal Party to victory in October 2015, few could have imagined the political rollercoaster that...
Conservatives lead by 26 as Liberal leadership election kicks off
If an election were held today, 46% of committed voters would cast a ballot for the Conservatives, 20% would vote...
1 in 4 Canadians are either open to consider or definitely want Canada to join the United States
Over the past week, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,500 Canadian adults to understand public reactions to recent...
Post-Trudeau resignation, Conservative lead grows to 27. Freeland and Carney well ahead of others on recognizability, familiarity, and net favourable impression.
Following the announcement that Justin Trudeau will step down as Prime Minister and Liberal leader later this year, we conducted...
Liberal Leadership: Would You Order a Dish You Know Nothing About Off a Menu?
Why We Can’t Easily Estimate Liberal Leadership Candidates’ Broader Appeal (Yet) Yesterday, Justin Trudeau resigned and initiated a process to...
Beyond Left and Right: The Ideological Dimensions of Canadians and What it Means for 2025
This analysis challenges the traditional notion of a simple left-right political spectrum in Canada, revealing a more nuanced, multi-dimensional landscape...
Here’s a reason why Poilievre and the Conservatives are leading by 25 points
Yesterday, the Liberal Party released new advertising targeting Pierre Poilievre. How much they are spending on those ads is unknown...
Between Scarcity and Stability: A Year-End Reflection on Canadian Public Opinion and the Road to 2025
As we close the book on 2024, it’s been a year marked by uncertainty, shifting priorities, and evolving political loyalties...
Abacus Data Poll: Post-Freeland resignation, Trudeau’s net favourability drops to -43 as only 19% want him to stay on as Prime Minister.
Following the resignation of Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland yesterday, we launched a new survey at 5pm...
Post-Freeland resignation, Trudeau’s net favourability drops to -43 as only 19% want him to stay on as Prime Minister.
Following the resignation of Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland yesterday, we launched a new survey at 5pm...
Housing Concerns Grow as Over Half of Canadians Fear Losing Their Home Due to Financial Changes
Recently, Abacus Data partnered with the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), the Canadian Alliance to End Homelessness (CAEH), and the...
If voters don’t think you like or respect them, how can you expect them to vote for you?
In the wake of Donald Trump’s unexpected victory in the 2016 U.S. presidential election, David tweeted something that has stayed...
Ontario PCs lead by 18 as Ford government approval rating rebounds
From November 28 to December 4, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a survey of 1,500 eligible voters in Ontario exploring several...
No “GST Tax Holiday” or “Trump” Bump as Conservatives hold 23-point lead over the Liberals.
From November 29 to December 4, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,720 Canadian adults exploring several topics...
Abacus Data Poll: No “GST Tax Holiday” or “Trump” Bump as Conservatives hold 23-point lead over the Liberals.
From November 29 to December 4, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,720 Canadian adults exploring several topics...
A Double Demographic Whammy
The Canadian healthcare system is heading toward a perfect storm—a “double demographic whammy” that will strain health and long-term care...
Nova Scotia PCs headed for landslide win bucking anti-incumbency trend.
The results indicate that unless something fundamentally changes today or tomorrow, the Nova Scotia PC Party and Tim Houston are...
People don’t vote for you because of what you do, but because of why you do it.
To paraphrase Simon Sinek in more political terms —“People don’t vote for you on what you do, but why you...
No “Trump Bump” for Liberals as they are now tied with NDP for second. Conservatives lead by 22.
From November 14 to 19, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,915 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...
No “Trump Bump” for Liberals as they are now tied with NDP for second. Conservatives lead by 22.
From November 14 to 19, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,915 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...
Are Poilievre and the Conservatives headed towards a "loveless landslide"?
There’s always value in watching what’s going on in other countries to learn something about what is happening in your...
Nova Scotia PCs extend lead as campaign hits halfway mark
The results indicate that the Nova Scotia PC Party and Premier Tim Houston have increased their lead over the opposition...
Conservatives lead by 19 as other metrics hold steady
From October 31 to November 5, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,915 Canadian adults exploring several topics...
Conservatives lead by 19 as other metrics hold steady.
From October 31 to November 5, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,915 Canadian adults exploring several topics...
Ontario PC lead down to 16 as Ford Government approval drops
From October 31 to November 5, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a survey of 998 eligible voters in Ontario exploring several...
Inflationitis Strikes Again - A scarcity mindset is killing incumbent governments everywhere.
Two years of market research and polling have helped me identify a condition that, if left unchecked, has the power...
Are perceptions about population growth impacting political opinions? Polling from Nova Scotia.
Last week, we released the initial results from our first poll in Nova Scotia as voters weigh their choices during...
Nova Scotia PCs lead by 19: Why Tim Houston is well positioned to be re-elected.
The results indicate that the Nova Scotia PC Party and Premier Tim Houston are in a strong position as the...