• David Coletto

Our latest national tracking survey was conducted from October 16 to 21, 2026, as the federal government continues to navigate an uncertain economic environment, ongoing tensions with the United States, and persistent concerns about affordability and the cost of living. Despite those pressures, support for the Liberal Party and the federal government led by Mark Carney remains strong. In fact...

• 2026-10-25
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

The latest wave of Abacus Data’s Ontario political tracking for the Toronto Star finds Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives have lost some of the ground they recovered in August. The PCs remain ahead of their political opponents, but their lead has narrowed, their government continues to face more disapproval than approval, and the desire for political change remains widespread...

• 2026-10-20
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto, Curtis Brown, Robson Fletcher

Our latest Abacus Data survey finds Albertans are preparing for the historic October 19 referendum, but already expecting the debate over the province’s place in Canada to continue well after ballots are counted. The ballot asks whether Alberta should remain in Canada or begin the legal process toward a binding referendum on separation. Conducted October 7 to 13, 2026, the...

• 2026-10-16
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

A new national survey from Abacus Data and Vantage finds Canadians have largely accepted the case for moving faster on major projects but that support comes with conditions that could shape what governments, investors and project proponents can actually do next. Two-thirds of Canadians (67%) say getting major projects built quickly is now a question of Canada’s sovereignty. Yet only...

• 2026-10-05
• — Abacus Data

• Sandro Ayrle, David Coletto

Our latest national survey finds broad and growing support for Canada deepening its relationship with Europe, as Prime Minister Mark Carney prepares to travel to Strasbourg and Liverpool amid speculation that the trip could include a significant new announcement about Canada’s relationship with its European partners.

• 2026-09-14
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

As the trade dispute between Canada and the United States escalates, much of the focus in Canada has understandably been on what it means for our economy, our businesses and our politics. But we wanted to look at the other side of the border. Specifically, we wanted to understand how American voters are reacting to the trade war, whether they...

• 2026-09-02
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Our latest national tracking survey was conducted as Canada-U.S. trade negotiations broke down and new American tariffs took effect. Prime Minister Mark Carney suspended talks on August 21 rather than accept Washington’s terms, and 50% U.S. tariffs took effect the following day. Most interviews were completed after those developments. And on the eve of three byelections in Quebec, Ontario, and...

• 2026-08-30
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Our latest national tracking survey was conducted as Canada-U.S. trade negotiations entered another sensitive phase, with a new round of U.S. tariffs scheduled to take effect on August 19 and growing attention on what Canada might be prepared to concede in exchange for a deal. That debate has been higher in Quebec. During the field period, Canadian dairy farmers publicly...

• 2026-08-16
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Three days before this survey began, U.S. President Donald Trump signed proclamations imposing additional 50% tariffs on a range of Canadian products, including wine, hockey sticks and cement. The tariffs would apply even to covered goods that qualify under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement and are scheduled to take effect on August 19. On the first day of fieldwork, Prime Minister...

• 2026-08-02
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Despite an unusually active week for the federal government, the political environment remains largely unchanged. Affordability continues to create an opening for the Conservatives, while concern about Donald Trump remains a major Liberal advantage. The week before this survey began may be one of the most consequential of Mark Carney’s time as prime minister.

• 2026-07-19
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

About 100 days after Avi Lewis was elected leader of the federal New Democratic Party on March 29 the party remains in a familiar place: liked by a relatively small core of voters, but still struggling to broaden its appeal in a political environment dominated by the Liberals and Conservatives.

• 2026-07-06
• — Abacus Data

• Eddie Sheppard, David Coletto

Over the past year, Canadians have spent a lot of time thinking about their country. Some of that reflection has been driven by challenges. Housing affordability remains a defining concern. The cost of living continues to put pressure on households. Political debates about immigration, identity, and the country’s future have become more intense. Trade tensions and economic disputes with the...

• 2026-06-29
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Every so often, it’s worth digging deeper into the data to understand some of the undercurrents of Canadian public opinion. Today, we dig into some of the generational and gendered differences and similarities in how Canadians are feeling and thinking about the country and its politics.

• 2026-06-23
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto, Eddie Sheppard

Between May 28 and June 2, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,910 Canadian adults to better understand attitudes towards climate change, federal government performance on the issue, and how Canadians believe climate action should fit alongside economic priorities.

• 2026-06-09
• — Abacus Data

• Kelly Bennett, David Coletto

From May 11 to 14, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 610 adults living in Nova Scotia. Our latest Nova Scotia Omnibus release provides a detailed snapshot of the province’s political landscape following a challenging budget season for Tim Houston’s PC government, marked by public protests over cuts to arts, culture, and community organizations, and critical commentary.

• 2026-05-25
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

This latest wave of Abacus Data’s federal political tracking finds the opinion environment remains positive for Mark Carney and the Liberal government. Government approval has reached a new high, the Liberals hold a 10-point lead over the Conservatives, and optimism about the direction of the country continues to be relatively high. Carney’s personal numbers also remain strong, Pierre Poilievre continues...

• 2026-05-10
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

This latest wave of research captures the first snapshot of public opinion following the Liberals’ by-election victories, which have now secured them a majority in the House of Commons. The results suggest that rather than triggering any backlash, the shift to majority government has coincided with a modest strengthening of the Liberals’ position.

• 2026-04-26
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

This latest wave of research finds a political environment that remains largely unchanged from late March, even as the political context becomes more dynamic. With the Liberal Party meeting in Montreal for its national convention, three federal by-elections approaching, and ongoing global instability, including conflict in Iran and rising oil prices, the underlying structure of public opinion appears steady.

• 2026-04-12
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between March 19 and 24, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,515 Canadian adults as part of our ongoing federal political tracking. This latest wave of research finds a political environment that remains largely unchanged from earlier in March. The Liberals continue to hold a clear national advantage, underlying attitudes about the government are steady, and the broader context shaping public opinion shows little meaningful movement.

• 2026-03-29
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Across North America, the rapid expansion of AI infrastructure has begun to collide with public concerns about energy use, environmental impact, and who ultimately benefits.

• 2026-03-24
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between March 4 and 11, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,931 Canadian adults as part of our ongoing federal political tracking. This wave of research captures public opinion almost exactly one year after Mark Carney became Prime Minister and formed a government following his election as Liberal Party leader. It was also conducted after the escalation of conflict in the Middle...

• 2026-03-15
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

At the beginning of 2025, when Mark Carney formally entered politics, only a minority of Canadians could recognize him. He was known in elite and policy circles, but to most voters he was still more idea than person, more résumé than brand. That matters, because political brands are not built all at once. They form gradually, as people absorb cues...

• 2026-03-10
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between February 20 and 25, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,000 Alberta adults aged 18 and over as part of our Alberta Omnibus survey. This is our third and final release which explores the federal political landscape in Alberta, including approval of the federal government, vote intention, and impressions of key leaders.

• 2026-03-07
• — Abacus Data

• Sandro Ayrle, David Coletto

Public perceptions about Canada’s global alignment continues to shift. A new Abacus Data survey finds more Canadians still see the United States as Canada’s most important partner today, but confidence in U.S. reliability has eroded, and impressions have softened. At the same time, support for deeper strategic cooperation with the European Union is strong, and nearly half now support the...

• 2026-03-04
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between February 18 and 23, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,500 Canadian adults as part of our ongoing federal political tracking. This wave was conducted during a distinct political moment. It follows last week’s high-profile floor crossing in Ottawa, which briefly reshaped parliamentary optics and dominated political coverage. At the same time, it was fielded prior to President Donald Trump’s State...

• 2026-03-01
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

For the past two years, much of his rhetoric has revolved around the idea that Canada is broken. That elites have failed. That gatekeepers have blocked growth and made life unaffordable. It has been sharp and oppositional, sometimes deliberately so. This speech was different. It felt calmer and more reflective. He reached back to Marcus Aurelius and the founding of...

• 2026-02-26
• — Substack

• Kelly Bennett, David Coletto

From January 21 to 28, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 601 adults living in Nova Scotia. Our latest Nova Scotia release provides a detailed snapshot of the province’s political landscape as Premier Tim Houston and his Progressive Conservative government returns to the legislature and prepares to table their 2026-27 budget, which is widely expected to emphasize spending restraint.

• 2026-02-18
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between February 5 and 10, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,915 Canadian adults as part of our ongoing federal political tracking. This wave comes at a consequential moment in federal politics. It follows the Conservative Party convention in Calgary and Pierre Poilievre’s leadership review, but more importantly, it represents the first clear read on the political environment after several weeks of...

• 2026-02-15
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

It has been more than a year since Abacus Data last measured American attitudes toward Canada, trade, and tariffs. To revisit these issues, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 4,000 American adults from February 2 to 4, 2026, including an oversample in several northern and border states. The survey explored how Americans feel about the direction of their country...

• 2026-02-11
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

This week in Ottawa, Conservatives will gather to mark a milestone that still shapes Canadian politics: Stephen Harper’s election victory twenty years ago in 2006, ending more than a decade of Liberal rule. The unveiling of Mr. Harper’s official portrait is a reminder that his legacy will sit, quite literally, in the halls of Parliament. Our latest Abacus Data survey...

• 2026-02-03
• — Substack