Nik Nanos

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Canadian confidence slips below neutral for first time in about five months

Canadian confidence slips below neutral for first time in about five months

The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index moved below the neutral 50-point mark, declining from 52.81 four weeks ago to 49.86. The change reflected lower expectations for the economy and housing market, while assessments of personal finances and job security remained relatively stable. Overall confidence is below both its 2026 average and its long-term historical average, indicating a more subdued economic...

Québec Election Survey: PQ 27.9%, Liberals 23.7%, CAQ 21.6%, Conservatives 16.4% and Québec solidaire 8.7%

Québec Election Survey: PQ 27.9%, Liberals 23.7%, CAQ 21.6%, Conservatives 16.4% and Québec solidaire 8.7%

“As of September 14th, the PQ holds a marginal lead in the ballot race while the premier contest is still highly competitive. The CAQ led by Christine Fréchette retains an issue-management advantage on economic and trade matters. On improving the finances of Quebecers, it is a horse race.” Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Parti Québécois have a marginal lead...

The American shadow: Concern about Trump/US on upward trajectory – LPC (48.3), CPC (30.9), NDP (10.9)

The American shadow: Concern about Trump/US on upward trajectory – LPC (48.3), CPC (30.9), NDP (10.9)

Concern over the United States has surged to the top of Canadians’ list of national priorities, overtaking jobs and the economy and underscoring how cross-border uncertainty continues to shape the political landscape. Twenty-seven per cent of Canadians now cite relations with the United States as the country’s most important issue, up sharply from 11.4% four weeks earlier, while concern about...

A growing appetite for making streamers fund Canadian content.

A growing appetite for making streamers fund Canadian content.

This research gauged the opinion of Canadians on streaming services financially supporting the creation of Canadian content.

Confidence eases amid uncertainty over Canada-U.S. trade

Confidence eases amid uncertainty over Canada-U.S. trade

Canadian consumer confidence eased in early September, with the Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index lowering to 50.38 from 53.38 four weeks earlier. The decline was driven by softer expectations for the economy and real estate, while views on personal finances and job security remained comparatively stable.

Trump trumps the economy – Worries about Washington top the national agenda for the first time in a year, as the Liberals hold a 16-point lead.

Trump trumps the economy – Worries about Washington top the national agenda for the first time in a year, as the Liberals hold a 16-point lead.

Federal political preferences remain broadly unchanged in the latest Nanos tracking. The Liberals stand at 47.3% support, followed by the Conservatives at 31.3%, while the NDP records 10.8%. Mark Carney remains the preferred choice for prime minister at 55.2, compared with 21.3% for Pierre Poilievre. Meanwhile, Donald Trump and the Canada-US relationship ranks as the country’s leading national issue of...

Consumers confidence holds its ground as expectations ease

Consumers confidence holds its ground as expectations ease

Canadian confidence held its score since the last wave of tracking, with the Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index at 51.80. Views on personal finances and job security were stronger, reflected in a Pocketbook Index score of 54.83. Expectations for the economy and housing were weaker, leaving the Expectations Index at 48.76 and below the neutral 50-point mark.

Gap between Liberals and Conservatives narrows in wake of trade talk turbulence

Gap between Liberals and Conservatives narrows in wake of trade talk turbulence

Concern about Trump/US relations is now statistically tied with jobs/the economy. Of note, in the immediate wake of the Carney government breaking off talks with the Americans, the gap between the Liberals and the Conservative narrowed to 11 points in the Nanos weekly tracking.

Consumer confidence declines on trade uncertainty

Consumer confidence declines on trade uncertainty

Canadian consumer confidence showed negative pressure immediately on the escalation of trade tensions with the United States. The forward looking Expectations Sub-indice declined, in a seven day period, from 51.61 to 49.70 points on the 100 point diffusion index. Any score above 50 is positive while a score below 50 is negative. This should be monitored in terms of new trajectory for the trend line.

Liberals lead by 14 points - Worry about jobs/the economy continues. Concern about Trump/US relations up

Liberals lead by 14 points - Worry about jobs/the economy continues. Concern about Trump/US relations up

Canadians remain preoccupied with their pocketbooks, but a new worry is climbing fast. Jobs and the economy still tops the list of unprompted national concerns at 20.2%, little changed from 21.1% four weeks ago, while inflation edges up to 11.3%. The striking movement is Trump and relations with the United States, which has nearly doubled to 14.9% from 8.1% in...

Canadian confidence is climbing the wall of worry

Canadian confidence is climbing the wall of worry

Canadian confidence is climbing the wall of worry. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index stands at 52.81, up from 52.55 four weeks ago and within sight of its twelve-month high of 54.19. The advance is one of expectation rather than experience. Only 13 per cent of Canadians say they are better off than a year ago, while 35 per cent say they are worse off.

Canadians’ anxieties remain stubbornly material but the neighbours are intruding: Jobs/the economy top concern followed by Trump/US.

Canadians’ anxieties remain stubbornly material but the neighbours are intruding: Jobs/the economy top concern followed by Trump/US.

Jobs and the economy still top the unprompted list of national concerns at 19.6 per cent, easing from 20.6 four weeks ago, while inflation has slipped to 10.1 from 11.6. The mover is Trump and relations with the United States, up to 11.4 per cent from 8.4, now second only to the economy; environment (7.6%), health care (7.5%) and housing...

More confidence, not quite conviction

More confidence, not quite conviction

Canadian economic sentiment has improved modestly, but confidence remains restrained. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index moved to 53.38 changing from 51.43 four weeks earlier, driven by both household finances and expectations for the economy and housing market. Canadians remain cautious with more saying the economy is more likely to weaken rather than strengthen, and with Canadians more likely to...

The economy tops minds, Liberals top polls: Liberals 45.6; Conservatives 29.1; NDP 12.9

The economy tops minds, Liberals top polls: Liberals 45.6; Conservatives 29.1; NDP 12.9

Economic issues continue to occupy a central place in Canadians’ concerns, with jobs and the economy remaining the most frequently cited national issue. Inflation also remains a notable concern, while attention to Canada-U.S. relations has increased in recent weeks. Other issues such as healthcare, housing affordability, the environment and national unity continue to register, although at lower levels.

The AI Balancing Act: Canadians divided on AI benefits, united against subsidies. (Globe and Mail/Nanos)

The AI Balancing Act: Canadians divided on AI benefits, united against subsidies. (Globe and Mail/Nanos)

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,104 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, from July 28th to 30th, 2026 as part of an omnibus survey. The sample included both land- and celllines across Canada. The results were statistically checked and weighted by age and gender using the latest Census...

Economic sentiment edges to a four week high on stronger expectations.

Economic sentiment edges to a four week high on stronger expectations.

Canadian consumer confidence was largely unchanged in early August, according to the latest Bloomberg-Nanos Canadian Confidence Index. The index stood at 53.0, compared with 52.65 four weeks earlier and 52.81 the previous week. The reading remains above the neutral threshold of 50, indicating that positive assessments continue to slightly outweigh negative ones.

Political abstinence: Strong majority say they will boycott American alcohol if it returned to store shelves

Political abstinence: Strong majority say they will boycott American alcohol if it returned to store shelves

This research gauged views of Canadians on their likelihood to buy American alcohol if it were put back on the shelves of Canadian liquor stores. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,104 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, from July 28th to 30th, 2026 as part of an omnibus...

Liberals lead as economic concerns and Trump dominate mindset - LPC 47.1%, CPC 27.9%, NDP 12.7%

Liberals lead as economic concerns and Trump dominate mindset - LPC 47.1%, CPC 27.9%, NDP 12.7%

The Liberals continue to occupy a dominant position in federal politics, widening the gap with their rivals and reinforcing a lead that extends across voter preferences and broader measures of political strength. The latest tracking places Liberal ballot support at 47.1%, compared with 27.9% for the Conservatives and 12.7% for the NDP. The party also holds a substantial advantage on...

No obvious challenger: Harper and Poilievre lead the Conservative field, but most often Canadians say none has a chance to defeat Carney.

No obvious challenger: Harper and Poilievre lead the Conservative field, but most often Canadians say none has a chance to defeat Carney.

This research gauged the opinion of Canadians on which notable Canadian Conservative would have the best chance of defeating Liberal leader Mark Carney.

Liberals maintain lead amid evolving concerns.

Liberals maintain lead amid evolving concerns.

Federal politics remains relatively stable heading into the latter part of July. National ballot tracking places the Liberals at 44.7%, the Conservatives at 29.5%, and the NDP at 12.7%, with smaller shares for the Bloc Québécois (7.3%), Green Party (4.5%), and People’s Party (1.1%).

Pocketbooks Strengthen; Expectations Stabilize

Pocketbooks Strengthen; Expectations Stabilize

Canadian consumer confidence remained modestly positive in late July. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index registered 52.55, slightly above its level four weeks earlier. Assessments of personal finances and job security were stronger, with the Pocketbook Index at 54.84, while views on the economy and housing market were more restrained, with the Expectations Index at 50.27. Overall sentiment remained above...

iberals 42.7, Conservatives 31.3, NDP 13.6

iberals 42.7, Conservatives 31.3, NDP 13.6

Political sentiment remains relatively steady as summer progresses. The Liberals continue to lead federal ballot tracking at 42.7%, ahead of the Conservatives at 31.3%, while Mark Carney remains the leading choice for prime minister. Economic concerns continue to dominate public priorities, with jobs and the economy cited most often (20.6%), followed by cost of living (11.6%). Concerns about the environment...

Consumer Sentiment Eases After Early-Summer Rise

Consumer Sentiment Eases After Early-Summer Rise

Canadian consumer confidence eased this week, with the Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index declining to 51.43 from 52.65 the previous week. The index remains below its 2026 high of 54.19 and well below the peak recorded in 2021.

Economic Pressures Endure, Political Rankings Hold - LPC 43%, CPC 31%

Economic Pressures Endure, Political Rankings Hold - LPC 43%, CPC 31%

The federal political landscape endures, with the Liberals at 43.0 per cent among committed voters compared with 31.0 per cent for the Conservatives. Mark Carney remains the preferred choice for prime minister at 51.5 per cent. Jobs and the economy continue to be Canadians’ top national concern at 21.5 per cent, followed by cost of living at 12.0 per cent.

Confidence hits a four-month high.

Confidence hits a four-month high.

Canadians are over three times more likely to rate Mark Carney’s handling of the economy as good rather than poor

Canadians are over three times more likely to rate Mark Carney’s handling of the economy as good rather than poor

The research gauged the views of Canadians on Prime Minister Mark Carney’s job of handling the economy.

Slim majority of Canadians against federal government’s proposal to privatize airports.
Liberal cushion shrinks with economic concerns front of mind.

Liberal cushion shrinks with economic concerns front of mind.

The Liberals continue to lead federal voting intentions, with their advantage over the Conservatives shrinking into the single digits. Mark Carney remains the preferred choice for prime minister, while jobs, the economy and cost-of-living pressures continue to rank among Canadians’ top concerns.

Economic mood stuck in neutral.

Economic mood stuck in neutral.

Canada’s economic confidence has remained broadly stable. The Bloomberg-Nanos Canadian Confidence Index stood at 51.24, slightly higher than four weeks earlier and just above the neutral benchmark. Views on personal finances and job security were largely unchanged, while expectations for the economy and housing have improved modestly.

Canadians split on Alto High-Speed Rail as a Government priority

Canadians split on Alto High-Speed Rail as a Government priority

Nanos was retained to conduct research to gauge the views of Canadians on the importance of the Alto High-Speed Rail Project as a government priority.

Canadians overwhelmingly want national unity, but many believe it is weakening

Canadians overwhelmingly want national unity, but many believe it is weakening

A vast majority of Canadians say it is important (77%) or somewhat important (11%) for Canada to remain a united country.

Liberals lead by 13 points - Carney ahead of Poilievre by 26 points on preferred PM.

Liberals lead by 13 points - Carney ahead of Poilievre by 26 points on preferred PM.

Canada’s federal political landscape remains steady, with little movement in party support. The Liberals continue to lead comfortably at 43.8%, ahead of the Conservatives at 30.4%. The NDP sits at 12.0%, while the Bloc (6.5%) and Greens (5.2%) remain smaller players.

Canadian economic sentiment sputtering in neutral

Canadian economic sentiment sputtering in neutral

Canadian economic sentiment remains stable. The Bloomberg‑Nanos index stood at 50.88, up from 50.70 four weeks earlier and close to neutral. Current conditions eased slightly, with the pocketbook measure at 51.82, while expectations rose to 49.93. Overall levels remain below the longer-term average of 54.73 and the recent peak of 54.19, suggesting a broadly balanced but somewhat cautious economic outlook.

Liberals 43.5, Conservatives 31.5, NDP 11.4

Liberals 43.5, Conservatives 31.5, NDP 11.4

The Liberals continue to lead the Nanos Ballot numbers at 43.5%, maintaining their lead over the Conservatives at 31.5%, with other parties trailing. Economic concerns, jobs, inflation and the cost of living remain the most prominent issues of national concern, alongside housing and Trump/US relations.

Canada’s economic mood: hovering at neutral

Canada’s economic mood: hovering at neutral

Canadian consumer confidence remains subdued, with the composite index edging down to 50.42 from 51.73 four weeks earlier, remaining close to neutral. Household sentiment has weakened, as the pocketbook measure declined to 51.48 from 55.01, reflecting softer views on personal finances and job security. Expectations improved modestly to 49.36 but remains below neutral.

Liberals hold lead as concern on national unity on radar

Liberals hold lead as concern on national unity on radar

Canada’s federal polling shows a stable Liberal lead, with support at 42.7% compared with 30.7% for the Conservatives. Other parties remain at lower levels of support. Preferences for prime minister follow a similar pattern. Mark Carney is the most selected first choice at 48.6%, while Pierre Poilievre stands at 24.1%, with others trailing.

Canadian economic mood stable, but lacking momentum (Bloomberg/Nanos Research)

Canadian economic mood stable, but lacking momentum (Bloomberg/Nanos Research)

Canada’s economic mood remains near neutral with a slight dip from recent weeks. Household sentiment has eased, while expectations remain broadly unchanged. Overall, views are balanced, with Canadian’s cautious sentiment prevailing.

A slight majority of Canadians are ok with MAID expanding to patients who are suffering only from mental illnesses.
Rising inflation concerns. Liberals ahead while Conservative support hits a low not seen since November 2022.

Rising inflation concerns. Liberals ahead while Conservative support hits a low not seen since November 2022.

Economic concerns continue to dominate the public mood, though with less intensity. Mentions of jobs and the economy have eased from 24.2% to 21.0%, while inflation has risen from 10.8% to 13.4%, suggesting a shift in emphasis rather than a reversal of priorities. Healthcare (7.2%) and immigration (4.7%) have also inched upward, even as housing concerns have declined from 5.7% to 3.9%.

Rising inflation concerns. Liberals ahead while Conservative support hits a low not seen since November 2022.

Rising inflation concerns. Liberals ahead while Conservative support hits a low not seen since November 2022.

Economic concerns continue to dominate the public mood, though with less intensity. Mentions of jobs and the economy have eased from 24.2% to 21.0%, while inflation has risen from 10.8% to 13.4%, suggesting a shift in emphasis rather than a reversal of priorities. Healthcare (7.2%) and immigration (4.7%) have also inched upward, even as housing concerns have declined from 5.7% to 3.9%.

Canadians are three times more likely to avoid rather than embrace lower-cost US dairy if it became more available on the Canadian market

Canadians are three times more likely to avoid rather than embrace lower-cost US dairy if it became more available on the Canadian market

Three in five Canadians are outright not likely to purchase dairy products from the US if the dairy supply management system changed and more dairy from the United States was available for sale at lower costs. An additional one in ten is somewhat unlikely.

Gap continues to narrow: Liberals 40.3, Conservatives 32.8, NDP 13.2

Gap continues to narrow: Liberals 40.3, Conservatives 32.8, NDP 13.2

The Liberals maintain a clear lead in federal voter preferences at 41.1%, ahead of the Conservatives at 32.7%, though the margin has narrowed to single digits, indicating a more competitive environment may be emerging. Other parties remain well behind, with the NDP at 12.6% and smaller shares for the Bloc, Greens and People’s Party. Public attention continues to centre on...

Gap continues to narrow: Liberals 40.3, Conservatives 32.8, NDP 13.2

Gap continues to narrow: Liberals 40.3, Conservatives 32.8, NDP 13.2

The Liberals maintain a clear lead in federal voter preferences at 41.1%, ahead of the Conservatives at 32.7%, though the margin has narrowed to single digits, indicating a more competitive environment may be emerging. Other parties remain well behind, with the NDP at 12.6% and smaller shares for the Bloc, Greens and People’s Party. Public attention continues to centre on...

Consumer confidence continuing to skip in neutral territory

Consumer confidence continuing to skip in neutral territory

Canadians continue to skip along in neutral territory. Of note, Ontario remains the noticeably most negative in terms of consumer sentiment compared to all other parts of the country.

Australia and Germany lead Canada’s energy partnership preference – Comfort with China and the Middle East as energy partners sees a marginal increase.
Gap Narrows: Liberals 41.1, Conservatives 32.7

Gap Narrows: Liberals 41.1, Conservatives 32.7

The Liberals maintain a clear lead in federal voter preferences at 41.1%, ahead of the Conservatives at 32.7%, though the margin has narrowed to single digits, indicating a more competitive environment may be emerging. Other parties remain well behind, with the NDP at 12.6% and smaller shares for the Bloc, Greens and People’s Party. Public attention continues to centre on...

Confidence steadies after recovery

Confidence steadies after recovery

Canada’s economic mood is holding broadly steady, with confidence at 51.73, plateauing after consecutive weeks of recovery from recent lows. Firmer views on job security and household finances support the index, while expectations for the wider economy remain subdued.

Economy, inflation and U.S. relations among top issues; Liberals lead

Economy, inflation and U.S. relations among top issues; Liberals lead

Economic concerns continue to dominate, with jobs and inflation at the forefront. Strained relations with the United States remain closely tied to this uncertainty. The Liberals maintain their lead over the Conservatives, with Mark Carney remaining as the preferred choice for prime minister, suggesting a largely stable political landscape shaped by persistent economic pressures.

Confidence trending up but remains cautious

Confidence trending up but remains cautious

Canadian consumer confidence ticked up to 51.88, a modest improvement from recent weakness but still below its long-term average. People feel somewhat better about their own finances and job security, while views on the broader economy remain more subdued. Overall, the picture is fairly steady: a bit more confidence in current conditions, alongside continued caution about the near-term outlook.

Liberals 45.5, Conservatives 33.4 and NDP 8.8. - there has been downward pressure on NDP support in the period following the NDP leadership race

Liberals 45.5, Conservatives 33.4 and NDP 8.8. - there has been downward pressure on NDP support in the period following the NDP leadership race

In this week’s political tracking, the Liberal’s currently have a 12 point lead over the Conservatives. Of note there has been downward pressure on NDP support in the period following the NDP leadership race. The Canadian top issue of concern remains centered on the economy. Jobs and the economy lead, followed by inflation and relations with the United States.”

Liberals 45.5, Conservatives 33.4 and NDP 8.8

Liberals 45.5, Conservatives 33.4 and NDP 8.8

In this week’s political tracking, the Liberal’s currently have a 12 point lead over the Conservatives. Of note there has been downward pressure on NDP support in the period following the NDP leadership race. The Canadian top issue of concern remains centered on the economy. Jobs and the economy lead, followed by inflation and relations with the United States.

Inflation is a problem for three in four young Canadians.

Inflation is a problem for three in four young Canadians.

The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on their perceptions and concerns regarding economic conditions.

Confidence steadies with Canadians remaining neutral.

Confidence steadies with Canadians remaining neutral.

Canada’s economic mood is edging up. Stronger views of personal finances and job security are lifting sentiment, while expectations have improved but remain in neutral territory. After a recent dip, confidence is stabilizing.

Canadians who embrace 1.4% or lower threshold for defence spending hits low. Strong majority good with two percent of GDP or greater spending.

Canadians who embrace 1.4% or lower threshold for defence spending hits low. Strong majority good with two percent of GDP or greater spending.

The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on military spending and defence cooperation. It explores whether Canada should change its defence budget in response to calls for higher NATO contributions.

Liberals 45, Conservatives 32, NDP 11 - Canadians concerned about jobs/the economy

Liberals 45, Conservatives 32, NDP 11 - Canadians concerned about jobs/the economy

The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...

Confidence on Hold: Perceptions Pause Between Gloom and Hope

Confidence on Hold: Perceptions Pause Between Gloom and Hope

Canada’s confidence has stabilized at neutral. The index has recovered from April lows, signalling a pause in pessimism rather than a clear recovery. Of note, personal finances and economic expectations remain weak. Improved expectations suggest cautious hope, but momentum is limited and fragile overall nationwide.

Liberals 45, Conservatives 32 – Carney ahead of Poilievre by 24 points on preferred PM tracking

Liberals 45, Conservatives 32 – Carney ahead of Poilievre by 24 points on preferred PM tracking

Canada’s political landscape remains tilted towards the incumbents, though with signs of restlessness beneath the surface. Economic pressures continue to dominate public concern, with jobs, inflation and the broader cost of living crowding out other issues. Support for the governing Liberals remains well ahead of their rivals, while the Conservatives struggle to convert dissatisfaction into momentum. Smaller parties hold their...

Consumer confidence wobbling near neutral

Consumer confidence wobbling near neutral

Canadian consumer confidence is stuck in a holding pattern. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index has edged up from recent lows but remains below the threshold that would signal broad optimism. Household sentiment is being pulled in opposite directions: job security remains relatively firm, cushioning anxiety, while pessimism about the wider economy and real estate prices continues to drag expectations...

F-35 vs Gripen-E: Mission more important than jobs or defence cooperation when choosing the best jet fighter solution for the Royal Canadian Air Force.
From Trump Fear to Job Jitters – Canada’s top concern moves home, and the Liberals benefit

From Trump Fear to Job Jitters – Canada’s top concern moves home, and the Liberals benefit

The Canadian electorate is settling into a reality shaped by pocketbook anxiety. Jobs and the economy now dominate the national conversation at 23 per cent—up sharply from four weeks ago, while concern over Trump and American relations has cooled markedly, slipping to single digits. Mark Carney’s Liberals enjoy a comfortable 14-point ballot lead, a decisive edge on preferred prime minister...