Polls
Liberals hold lead as concern on national unity on radar

Liberals hold lead as concern on national unity on radar

Canada’s federal polling shows a stable Liberal lead, with support at 42.7% compared with 30.7% for the Conservatives. Other parties remain at lower levels of support. Preferences for prime minister follow a similar pattern. Mark Carney is the most selected first choice at 48.6%, while Pierre Poilievre stands at 24.1%, with others trailing.

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 9 as Carney Approval Rebounds

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 9 as Carney Approval Rebounds

The latest Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding a 9-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. The Liberals stand at 41% among decided and leaning voters, followed by the Conservatives at 32%, the NDP at 14%, and the Bloc Québécois at 6%. The Green Party, People’s Party, and Other parties are...

83% of Canadians want an immediate end to the war with Iran.

83% of Canadians want an immediate end to the war with Iran.

The war was never popular with Canadians but the economic impacts are now driving a desire to see it come to an end. As rumours about potential resolution to the war that has been going on for more than three months, Canadians want to see a quick end to it. In our latest Spark Insights polling (June 7-12, 4462 adults...

Canadian economic mood stable, but lacking momentum (Bloomberg/Nanos Research)

Canadian economic mood stable, but lacking momentum (Bloomberg/Nanos Research)

Canada’s economic mood remains near neutral with a slight dip from recent weeks. Household sentiment has eased, while expectations remain broadly unchanged. Overall, views are balanced, with Canadian’s cautious sentiment prevailing.

Government approval (66%) and voter mood shows continuing support for Carney.

Government approval (66%) and voter mood shows continuing support for Carney.

Our latest Spark Advocacy nationwide polling wrapped up late this week, with a large sample of 4462 adults across Canada. Here’s what we find as Parliament gets ready to rise for the summer. Overall satisfaction with the “way in which the federal government is handling its responsibilities” sits at 66%. Over 12 data points in our tracking since Carney took...

Federal Politics: Canadians cooling on Carney as gap narrows between Liberals and CPC

Federal Politics: Canadians cooling on Carney as gap narrows between Liberals and CPC

The summer is a pivotal season for Prime Minister Mark Carney as the U.S.-Canada trade relationship enters a forced inflexion point with the scheduled joint review of the U.S.-Canada-Mexico trade agreement — which U.S. President Donald Trump has once again threatened to blow up. Carney enters this period with signs that the grace extended by Canadians to his renewed Liberal...

Premiers’ Performance: Eby, Smith, and Ford each tumble to new lows approval

Premiers’ Performance: Eby, Smith, and Ford each tumble to new lows approval

Political discontent may be growing across the country, but this quarter’s premier approval ratings show a clear concentration of trouble among three of the country’s most prominent leaders. In Alberta, British Columbia and Ontario, Danielle Smith, David Eby and Doug Ford all fall to personal lows, each facing a different mix of governing fatigue, economic pressure and controversy at home...



A slight majority of Canadians are ok with MAID expanding to patients who are suffering only from mental illnesses.
Rising inflation concerns. Liberals ahead while Conservative support hits a low not seen since November 2022.

Rising inflation concerns. Liberals ahead while Conservative support hits a low not seen since November 2022.

Economic concerns continue to dominate the public mood, though with less intensity. Mentions of jobs and the economy have eased from 24.2% to 21.0%, while inflation has risen from 10.8% to 13.4%, suggesting a shift in emphasis rather than a reversal of priorities. Healthcare (7.2%) and immigration (4.7%) have also inched upward, even as housing concerns have declined from 5.7% to 3.9%.

Climate concern remains high, but affordability still dominates Canadians’ priorities

Climate concern remains high, but affordability still dominates Canadians’ priorities

Between May 28 and June 2, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,910 Canadian adults to better understand attitudes towards climate change, federal government performance on the issue, and how Canadians believe climate action should fit alongside economic priorities.

Surging Conservatives Tie New Democrats in British Columbia

Surging Conservatives Tie New Democrats in British Columbia

Almost half of residents (47%) think the province needs a centre-right party to serve as an alternative to the two dominant ones. Vancouver, BC [June 6, 2026] – British Columbia’s political scene has tightened following the conclusion of the Conservative Party of BC’s leadership race, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative provincial...

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 8 as Carney Approval Hits Tracker Low

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 8 as Carney Approval Hits Tracker Low

The Liberals lead the Conservatives 40% to 32%, while Mark Carney’s approval falls to 55%, its lowest point in Liaison’s federal tracking. The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding an 8-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. The Liberals stand at 40% among decided and leaning voters, followed by...

Liberal Momentum Slows as Approval, Optimism, and Carney’s Ratings Retreat

Liberal Momentum Slows as Approval, Optimism, and Carney’s Ratings Retreat

This latest wave of Abacus Data’s federal political tracking finds the political environment becoming more competitive after several months of steadily improving conditions for Prime Minister Mark Carney and the Liberal government. Government approval has fallen noticeably from its record high. Carney’s personal ratings have softened. The Liberal lead over the Conservatives has narrowed. At the same time, Canadians have...

Limited and Declining Support for Separation in Alberta

Limited and Declining Support for Separation in Alberta

Only two-in-ten Albertans plan to vote in favour of holding a future separation vote in the October 19th referendum

Canadians Weigh the Potential Impact of Alberta and Quebec Independence

Canadians Weigh the Potential Impact of Alberta and Quebec Independence

Talk of provincial independence has resurfaced in different parts of the country, raising questions about national unity, economic impact, and how Canadians would respond if Alberta or Quebec were to leave Confederation. Leger’s latest survey explores how closely Canadians are following these discussions, which province they believe would have the greater impact on Canada if it became independent, and whether...

Canadians are three times more likely to avoid rather than embrace lower-cost US dairy if it became more available on the Canadian market

Canadians are three times more likely to avoid rather than embrace lower-cost US dairy if it became more available on the Canadian market

Three in five Canadians are outright not likely to purchase dairy products from the US if the dairy supply management system changed and more dairy from the United States was available for sale at lower costs. An additional one in ten is somewhat unlikely.



Federal Politics: Liberals Reach Highest Level of Support

Federal Politics: Liberals Reach Highest Level of Support

Leger’s latest federal polling shows the Liberal Party continuing to strengthen its position nationally, reaching 50% support among decided voters. This represents a two-point increase since April and marks the highest level of support recorded by Leger for the Liberals since they first formed government in 2015.

Gap continues to narrow: Liberals 40.3, Conservatives 32.8, NDP 13.2

Gap continues to narrow: Liberals 40.3, Conservatives 32.8, NDP 13.2

The Liberals maintain a clear lead in federal voter preferences at 41.1%, ahead of the Conservatives at 32.7%, though the margin has narrowed to single digits, indicating a more competitive environment may be emerging. Other parties remain well behind, with the NDP at 12.6% and smaller shares for the Bloc, Greens and People’s Party. Public attention continues to centre on...

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 9 as NDP Jumps

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 9 as NDP Jumps

The Liberals still lead nationally, but the NDP has jumped to 16% while Mark Carney’s approval slips to 57%.

Consumer confidence continuing to skip in neutral territory

Consumer confidence continuing to skip in neutral territory

Canadians continue to skip along in neutral territory. Of note, Ontario remains the noticeably most negative in terms of consumer sentiment compared to all other parts of the country.

Australia and Germany lead Canada’s energy partnership preference – Comfort with China and the Middle East as energy partners sees a marginal increase.
Gap Narrows: Liberals 41.1, Conservatives 32.7

Gap Narrows: Liberals 41.1, Conservatives 32.7

The Liberals maintain a clear lead in federal voter preferences at 41.1%, ahead of the Conservatives at 32.7%, though the margin has narrowed to single digits, indicating a more competitive environment may be emerging. Other parties remain well behind, with the NDP at 12.6% and smaller shares for the Bloc, Greens and People’s Party. Public attention continues to centre on...

Alberta Separation: Three-in-five say they’d vote in October to stay, but half say the question is “confusing”

Alberta Separation: Three-in-five say they’d vote in October to stay, but half say the question is “confusing”

A long-simmering "what if" has become a reality in Alberta, with federalists and separatists now on a five-month clock to convince Albertans to either stay in Canada or "start a legal process" for a binding referendum on separation. The UCP government led by Premier Danielle Smith will put a 37-word question to Albertans in an Oct. 19 referendum. New data...

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead Conservatives By 12; Carney Approval Rebounds

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead Conservatives By 12; Carney Approval Rebounds

The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding a 12-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. Meanwhile, the Prime Minister's approval has rebounded to 59%. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 43% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives at...

Abacus Nova Scotia Poll: Houston’s PCs Still Ahead After Challenging Budget Season

Abacus Nova Scotia Poll: Houston’s PCs Still Ahead After Challenging Budget Season

From May 11 to 14, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 610 adults living in Nova Scotia. Our latest Nova Scotia Omnibus release provides a detailed snapshot of the province’s political landscape following a challenging budget season for Tim Houston’s PC government, marked by public protests over cuts to arts, culture, and community organizations, and critical commentary.


Confidence steadies after recovery

Confidence steadies after recovery

Canada’s economic mood is holding broadly steady, with confidence at 51.73, plateauing after consecutive weeks of recovery from recent lows. Firmer views on job security and household finances support the index, while expectations for the wider economy remain subdued.

Carney Government Approval and Liberal Lead Reach New Highs as Optimism About Canada Improves

Carney Government Approval and Liberal Lead Reach New Highs as Optimism About Canada Improves

This latest wave of Abacus Data’s federal political tracking finds the opinion environment around Prime Minister Mark Carney and the Liberal government continuing to strengthen. Most of this survey was conducted following the announcement on a pipeline between the Prime Minister and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith.

Ontario: PCs and Liberals Tied; Cost of Living Dominates Vote

Ontario: PCs and Liberals Tied; Cost of Living Dominates Vote

The latest Ontario Political Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Progressive Conservatives and Ontario Liberals tied among decided and leaning voters. If a provincial election were held today, the PCs led by Doug Ford and the Ontario Liberal Party led by John Fraser would each receive 37% of the vote. The Ontario NDP led by Marit Stiles sits at 20%...

Ottawa: Sutcliffe Leads Decided Voters; Tierney Opens at 11%

Ottawa: Sutcliffe Leads Decided Voters; Tierney Opens at 11%

The latest Capital Tracker from the Ottawa Compass and Liaison Strategies shows Mayor Mark Sutcliffe leading among decided and leaning voters in an early Ottawa mayoral ballot, while Tim Tierney would enter the race in double digits. Among decided and leaning voters, with Tierney included on the ballot, Sutcliffe leads with 37%, followed by Jeff Leiper at 32%, Alex Lawson...

Economy, inflation and U.S. relations among top issues; Liberals lead

Economy, inflation and U.S. relations among top issues; Liberals lead

Economic concerns continue to dominate, with jobs and inflation at the forefront. Strained relations with the United States remain closely tied to this uncertainty. The Liberals maintain their lead over the Conservatives, with Mark Carney remaining as the preferred choice for prime minister, suggesting a largely stable political landscape shaped by persistent economic pressures.

Carney government approval at 67% as voters want a map for the future, not a rear view mirror.

Carney government approval at 67% as voters want a map for the future, not a rear view mirror.

In our latest Spark Insights nationwide survey (3450 cases, online, May 10-14) we found Carney government approval at 67%, similar to our results in April. A majority in every part of the country indicates approval, the lowest level being 61% in Alberta, and the highest in Quebec at 73%.

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead Conservatives By 9

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead Conservatives By 9

The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding a 9-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. Meanwhile, the Prime Minister's approval continues to fall and is now at 56%. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 43% of the vote, followed...

Confidence trending up but remains cautious

Confidence trending up but remains cautious

Canadian consumer confidence ticked up to 51.88, a modest improvement from recent weakness but still below its long-term average. People feel somewhat better about their own finances and job security, while views on the broader economy remain more subdued. Overall, the picture is fairly steady: a bit more confidence in current conditions, alongside continued caution about the near-term outlook.

Ontario Politics: PCs Lead Provincial Voting Intentions as Cost of Living Remains Top Concern

Ontario Politics: PCs Lead Provincial Voting Intentions as Cost of Living Remains Top Concern

The Ontario Progressive Conservatives continue to lead in provincial voting intentions, while the Ontario Liberals sit within striking distance, according to a new Leger survey of Ontarians.

Toronto: Chow 50%, Bradford 37%; Traffic Frustration Dominates City Mood

Toronto: Chow 50%, Bradford 37%; Traffic Frustration Dominates City Mood

A new Liaison Strategies survey shows Mayor Olivia Chow holding a 13-point lead over Councillor Brad Bradford among decided voters, while Torontonians express overwhelming frustration with traffic congestion and road construction coordination. If a mayoral election were held today among decided voters, Olivia Chow would receive 50% support, followed by Brad Bradford at 37% and another candidate at 13%. Among...

Liberals 45.5, Conservatives 33.4 and NDP 8.8

Liberals 45.5, Conservatives 33.4 and NDP 8.8

In this week’s political tracking, the Liberal’s currently have a 12 point lead over the Conservatives. Of note there has been downward pressure on NDP support in the period following the NDP leadership race. The Canadian top issue of concern remains centered on the economy. Jobs and the economy lead, followed by inflation and relations with the United States.

Little Movement in Canada’s Federal Political Scene

Little Movement in Canada’s Federal Political Scene

Public support for the governing Liberal Party is still high in Canada, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative national sample, 46% of decided voters across Canada would back the Liberal candidate in their riding in a federal election, up one point since a similar Research Co. poll conducted in February 2026.

Pipeline Politics: Majority back Westcoast LNG project; half say Ottawa should be pushing harder on the file

Pipeline Politics: Majority back Westcoast LNG project; half say Ottawa should be pushing harder on the file

The federal approval of Enbridge's Westcoast LNG pipeline expansion is being met with little public opinion opposition in what is further evidence of the changed landscape on pipelines in British Columbia. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds majority support for the Westcoast LNG pipeline expansion across the country (55%) and in B.C. (61%), where support outnumbers opposition...

Liberals Lead But Carney Approval Continues Slide

Liberals Lead But Carney Approval Continues Slide

The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding an 11-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives but the Prime Minister's approval rating has fallen to 58%. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 44% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives...

Inflation is a problem for three in four young Canadians.

Inflation is a problem for three in four young Canadians.

The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on their perceptions and concerns regarding economic conditions.

Confidence steadies with Canadians remaining neutral.

Confidence steadies with Canadians remaining neutral.

Canada’s economic mood is edging up. Stronger views of personal finances and job security are lifting sentiment, while expectations have improved but remain in neutral territory. After a recent dip, confidence is stabilizing.

Carney Government Approval Hits New High as Liberals Lead Conservatives by 10

Carney Government Approval Hits New High as Liberals Lead Conservatives by 10

This latest wave of Abacus Data’s federal political tracking finds the opinion environment remains positive for Mark Carney and the Liberal government. Government approval has reached a new high, the Liberals hold a 10-point lead over the Conservatives, and optimism about the direction of the country continues to be relatively high. Carney’s personal numbers also remain strong, Pierre Poilievre continues...

Canadians who embrace 1.4% or lower threshold for defence spending hits low. Strong majority good with two percent of GDP or greater spending.

Canadians who embrace 1.4% or lower threshold for defence spending hits low. Strong majority good with two percent of GDP or greater spending.

The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on military spending and defence cooperation. It explores whether Canada should change its defence budget in response to calls for higher NATO contributions.