71% of Albertans don't want to leave Canada. 17% do. Who can influence the other 12% and what will matter to them? 120 years ago Alberta became a Canadian province. This year, residents may or may not have a vote on whether they want to remain. The proposed questions of the Smith government aren’t directly on this question - they...
The latest Liaison Strategies survey for Ontario shows the PCs trailing the Liberals by 2 points. It is the first time the PCs have trailed since Liaison began its monthly tracking series of Ontario. The PCs led by Doug Ford would garner 36% of the decided and leaning vote compared to the Ontario Liberals at 38%. The Ontario NDP sits...
While the national unemployment rate has held steady in recent months, a surge in youth unemployment and widespread pessimism about job prospects point to a labour market that feels far weaker than top-line numbers suggest. This, as federal government announced plans Tuesday, to invest billions in skills training and workforce growth as part of the government’s spring economic statement.
Canada’s political landscape remains tilted towards the incumbents, though with signs of restlessness beneath the surface. Economic pressures continue to dominate public concern, with jobs, inflation and the broader cost of living crowding out other issues. Support for the governing Liberals remains well ahead of their rivals, while the Conservatives struggle to convert dissatisfaction into momentum. Smaller parties hold their...
The Liberal Party maintains a commanding lead, though its advantage has narrowed somewhat over the past month. The Liberals stand at 44.5 per cent nationally, while the Conservatives are 14 points behind at 31.0 per cent. Although the Liberals would easily win a majority government with these numbers, the margin has tightened from nearly 21 points last month.
New Abacus Data polling conducted following the federal government’s decision to temporarily suspend the federal fuel excise tax on gasoline and diesel finds that most Canadians believe the measure will provide at least some relief, although relatively few expect it to make a major difference. Overall, 64% of Canadians say the decision will help reduce the cost of living, including...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, leading by 11 points over the Pierre Poilievre Conservatives. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 45% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives at 34%, the NDP at 9%, and the Bloc...
Canadian consumer confidence is stuck in a holding pattern. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index has edged up from recent lows but remains below the threshold that would signal broad optimism. Household sentiment is being pulled in opposite directions: job security remains relatively firm, cushioning anxiety, while pessimism about the wider economy and real estate prices continues to drag expectations...
First anniversaries are a significant milestone in most aspects of life. That it has been one year since Prime Minister Mark Carney and the federal Liberals completed a stunning reversal of electoral fortunes and secured a minority government in the House of Commons is no less remarkable. The election campaign may have focused on elbows, but it is concerns from...
This latest wave of research captures the first snapshot of public opinion following the Liberals’ by-election victories, which have now secured them a majority in the House of Commons. The results suggest that rather than triggering any backlash, the shift to majority government has coincided with a modest strengthening of the Liberals’ position.
There is no clear favourite when Canadians are asked to pick the best stewards of the federal government, a new Research Co. poll has found. The online survey of a representative national sample asked Canadians to select up to four of Canada’s 24 prime ministers as the best—and worst—the country has ever had. Five men are included as the list...
New Abacus Data polling finds Canadians divided, but leaning positive, in their reaction to the Liberal Party securing a majority of seats in the House of Commons following three recent byelection victories.
A new Pollara survey finds 56% of Canadians heard about Pierre Poilievre’s appearance on “The Joe Rogan Experience” podcast, including 11% who say they listened to the full interview. Among those who heard the podcast, twice as many say it improved (33%) rather than worsened (16%) how they feel about Poilievre. Our report also provides a first look at how...
The Canadian electorate is settling into a reality shaped by pocketbook anxiety. Jobs and the economy now dominate the national conversation at 23 per cent—up sharply from four weeks ago, while concern over Trump and American relations has cooled markedly, slipping to single digits. Mark Carney’s Liberals enjoy a comfortable 14-point ballot lead, a decisive edge on preferred prime minister...
During the past year, Canadians have been hearing a lot about major projects – big, transformative infrastructure investments led by the federal government. Ottawa’s new Major Projects Office (MPO) is either moving ahead with or evaluating major investments related to energy, resource extraction and transportation.
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, widening its lead to 12 percentage points over the Conservatives. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 45% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives at 33%, the NDP at 10%, and the...
Number of past Conservative voters calling for a new leader has risen significantly since last year. The erosion of the standing of the Conservative Party in the House of Commons has raised questions of the leadership of Pierre Poilievre to a new volume. The Liberals may have earned a majority government through three byelection victories, but the path to majority...
After weeks of sliding sentiment, Canada’s economic mood may be finding a floor. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index edged up to 47.23 from 46.31 last week, a modest break in the downward trajectory from its 2026 high of 54.19 in late February. The Expectations Index remains subdued at 42.60, while the Pocketbook Index holds above neutral at 51.86, suggesting...
But young people are more tempted by the idea, and federalists should concentrate on narrowing that generation gap. In 1980, 40% of Quebecers voted to separate. Fifteen years later, 49% took that position in a second referendum. Fast forward 30 years, and the Parti Quebecois is promising a third referendum if they win the next election, a promise that is...
A new Liaison Strategies survey show Mayor Olivia Chow holding a 11-point lead among decided voters while Councillor Brad Bradford sees a significant surge in support, particularly among younger demographics. If a mayoral election were held today among decided and leaning voters, Olivia Chow would lead with 46% support, followed by Brad Bradford at 35% and Anthony Furey at 11%...
The latest snapshot of BC from Mainstreet Research shows the continued dominance of Mark Carney among BC Voters. A majority of voter (51%) now say they would vote for Mark Carney if an election were held today. This would be the highest recorded number for the federal Liberal in BC in Mainstreet history. Provincially, all BC Conservative candidates tested did...
The Liberals hold a 13-point lead, and Mr Carney is the preferred prime minister. The economic picture is darkening fast: concern over jobs and the economy has risen nearly five points in a month, inflation worry is up and anxieties about Trump and America has dropped to the third most important national issue.
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker rom Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party maintaining a steady 10-percentage-point lead over the Conservatives, bolstered by high approval ratings for Prime Minister Mark Carney and significant leads in key regions like Ontario and the Prairies. If a federal election were held today the Liberals would receive 43% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives...
Canada’s economic mood has darkened decisively. Confidence has slipped below neutral territory with weak expectations about the economy and housing. The signal maybe that Canadians are bracing for leaner months ahead.
This latest wave of research finds a political environment that remains largely unchanged from late March, even as the political context becomes more dynamic. With the Liberal Party meeting in Montreal for its national convention, three federal by-elections approaching, and ongoing global instability, including conflict in Iran and rising oil prices, the underlying structure of public opinion appears steady.
Our latest Spark Insights polling (Sample 4026, nationwide, online, April 4-8) finds the Liberals (46%) well ahead of the Conservatives (32%) buttressed by a 19 point lead in BC, a 17 point lead in Ontario, and 20 points ahead of the BQ in Quebec. Underpinning this support is wide approval (65%) of the government’s performance. Liberal governments have historically faced...
Formed in 1949, in the wake of a world war which cost tens of millions of lives, 12 countries signed the NATO charter in Washington, D.C. The aims were to deter Soviet expansionism, to prevent the rise of nationalistic militarism in Europe, and to promote European integration. A lot has changed, in Trump’s America.
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1099 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between March 31 to April 4, 2026 as part of an omnibus survey. The sample included both land- and cell-lines across Canada. The results were statistically checked and weighted by age and gender using the latest...
This research gauged the opinions of Canadians on rising gas prices and the actions they are taking to in response and how the federal government should be responding.
After a period of relative stability, the latest wave of Abacus Data’s Ontario tracking finds renewed movement in the province’s political landscape, driven by a notable drop in Progressive Conservative support, continued erosion in Premier Doug Ford’s personal standing, and a meaningful uptick for the NDP. While the PCs remain in first place, their advantage has narrowed and the broader...
The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Stratégies shows the Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, maintaining a commanding 11-percentage-point lead over the Conservatives as the spring political season intensifies. The survey finds the Liberals with 44% (-1) support, followed by the Conservatives at 33% (no change) and the NDP at 9% (no change). Liaison surveyed a random sample of...
The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on their general impression of the Canadian Armed Forces, their views on whether a career in the CAF is a good option for young people today, whether the CAF makes them feel proud to be Canadian, whether they would be willing to serve in the CAF in either a full time or part...
Two thirds think the UK made a mistake getting out of the EU. The disruption that President Trump has caused in international relationships and markets has prompted a lot of people to open their minds to new possibilities, and new directions. Prime Minister Carney’s speech in Davos gave flight to the idea that middle powers should look for ways to...
Survey of 3,000+ Residents across the Québec City and Toronto Corridor. Capturing Public Opinion in the Early Stages of the Project
The latest Ontario survey from Liaison Strategies shows a tightening provincial race, with the Progressive Conservatives holding a narrow three-percentage-point lead over the Ontario Liberal Party. The survey finds the PCs at 39% support, followed by the Liberals at 36%, the NDP at 18%, and the Greens at 5%. The survey also reveals widespread public opposition to recent government moves...
A new Leger poll suggests the federal political picture in Canada remains defined by Liberal stability and NDP uncertainty. The Liberals, led by Mark Carney, continue to lead, with both personal approval ratings and satisfaction with the government remaining high, although the upward trend appears to have plateaued. At the same time, the federal New Democratic Party (NDP) is entering...
The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...
The latest polling from Liaison Strategies shows Mark Carney’s Liberal Party posting a 12-percentage-point lead over the Conservatives among decided and leaning voters, down from a 14-percentage-point lead from last week. The survey finds the Liberals with 45% support, followed by the Conservatives at 33% and the NDP at 9%. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Canadians from March...
The American and Israeli war against Iran is 29 days old, and is costing America somewhere between a billion and 2 billion dollars a day. Far from getting a “rally around the flag” public opinion boost, Americans were skeptical from the start, and opinion has been hardening, especially against the idea of putting American troops on the ground. Even most...