The tight race between the Liberals and the Conservatives in ballot support continues with the front runners within the margin of error of each other. Canadians continue to be fixated on Trump/US relations and jobs/the economy while Carney maintains an advantage on the preferred PM tracking over Poilievre.
Liberals hold two-point vote intention advantage, 40 per cent to 38 per cent over opposition CPC. Despite boos for the Prime Minister at the Grey Cup on Sunday, new data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds Carney approved of by 52 per cent of Canadians. He’s disapproved of by 39 per cent, putting his net approval rating at plus 13.
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,060 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending November 14th, 2025. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,060 Canadians is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.
69% think the opposition parties should let the budget pass, including 73% on the left and 51% on the right. Hardly fertile ground for the NDP and the CPC. As the House of Commons approaches confidence votes on Mark Carney’s first budget, they know that to force an election would be to court the ire of the public. It may...
In our first poll since the federal budget was tabled on November 4, the Liberal Party holds a clear 11-point lead over the Conservatives. However, the race is still relatively tight in seat-rich Ontario and the Liberals continue to fare comparatively poorly among Canadians under 35. Within this cohort, partisan preferences diverge sharply: under-35 men lean Conservative, while under-35 women...
6 in 10 Canadians think that the Canada-US-Mexico Agreement will be renewed with major changes (37%) or minor changes (23%). Meanwhile, three in ten (30%) Canadians think that it will not be renewed. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,045 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between October 27th...
A new province-wide survey conducted by Abacus Data reveals a clear preference among Ontarians for traffic calming infrastructure over the continued use of automated speed cameras. While the Ford government maintains a favourable standing with much of the electorate, the findings show that a pivot away from speed cameras and toward more visible, community-based safety interventions would be met with...
Betting on Poilievre is betting that someone who’s been in politics for 20 years will grow more popular, and the odds tell us that only rarely happens. The list of politicians who gain popularity after 20 years in public life is short. When it happens, it involves a major change in the politician, or a bigger change in the world...
The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...
Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives continue to hold a strong lead over their political rivals in Ontario. But our latest survey finds that while the Premier remains dominant, there are signs that some voters are beginning to question whether the government is making meaningful progress on key issues.
A new national Liaison Strategies poll taken immediately following the federal budget reveals a mixed public reaction: perceptions of the deficit’s severity have eased, more Canadians think the spending levels are appropriate, and the Liberals have widened their lead to 8 points over the Conservatives. That being said 58% of saying they are worried, pessimistic or frustrated about the Canadian...
Between November 5 and 6, 2025, Abacus Data surveyed 1,916 Canadian adults about the federal political landscape. The poll was conducted in the days following two major political developments: the release of the federal budget on November 4 and the defection of a Conservative MP to the Liberal caucus. These events had the potential to reshape the political narrative. Instead...
Canadian consumer confidence continues to trend downward into negative territory with negative sentiments not hitting levels seen since this past May. Positive sentiment on the value of real estate is noticeably down in the past four weeks.
A new post-budget survey from Abacus Data, the first of its kind since the Carney government tabled its 2025 federal budget, finds the country divided on the plan, uncertain about the direction, and unclear on the story behind it. While many of the measures tested were well received on their own, the overall narrative remains fractured. The results point to...
Leadership hypotheticals are always speculative, but they’re not pointless. Political leadership is about more than brand management or media presence, it’s the centre of the coalition, the public face of a movement, and often the determining factor in voting behaviour. That’s why we conducted a survey of 2,922 Canadian adults between October 24 and 29, 2025, for the Toronto Star...
A few months after the last federal election, Leger conducted a survey on behalf of Postmedia to assess federal voting intentions, satisfaction with the Carney government, and public sentiment on key national issues.
1 in 5 Canadians say they have skipped paying a bill to afford groceries in the past year. One in ten each rarely (nine percent) or sometimes (eight percent) skipped a bill to afford groceries while about five percent say they often skipped bills to afford groceries. Canadians aged 18 to 34 and 35 to 54 (18% each) are more...
Very few Canadians look fondly at the current President of the United States, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative national sample, only 18% of Canadians have a favourable opinion of Donald Trump, while just over three-in-four (76%) hold unfavourable views. Positive views on Trump reach 21% in Alberta and 20% in Ontario...
Nanos conducted a representative online survey of 1015 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between October 23rd and 28th, 2025. The sample is geographically stratified to be representative of Canada. A margin of error cannot be calculated on a non-probability sample. For comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1015 respondents would have a margin of error of ±3.1 percentage...
A new national Liaison Strategies poll taken on the eve of the federal budget finds Canadians split on whether the deficit will personally affect them, with 48% saying it would and 44% saying it wouldn't. The poll, conducted for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) also finds the federal Liberals lead by 4 over the Conservatives, 42% to 38%.
Only two percentage points separates the Liberals and the Conservatives which is a spread within the margin of error of the Nanos weekly tracking. Carney maintains a 22-point advantage over Poilievre on the preferred PM tracking. As we enter the Canadian budget period, concern about Trump/US relations is on the rise and is now tied with worry about jobs/the economy...
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,045 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between October 27th and 30th, 2025, as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of error for this survey is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
As Mark Carney’s government prepares to release its first budget today, Canadians remain far more likely to believe the economy will get worse before it gets better. Yet despite this macro pessimism, many hold steady expectations for their own finances, revealing a cautious but resilient public mood. This survey was done in partnership with The Logic.
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,060 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending October 31st, 2025. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,060 Canadians is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.
Canadians are more likely to trust Mark Caney (59%) most to support economic growth in Canada which is consistent with the previous wave (60%), while just over one in five (23%) say they trust Pierre Poilievre most, down slightly from 27% in March 2025. Residents in the Atlantic and Quebec (65% each) are more likely to say they support Carney...
From October 24 to 29, 2025, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,922 Canadian adults to explore public attitudes toward immigration and its perceived impacts. The results show that opinions on immigration have stabilized after last year’s sharp rise in skepticism. While most Canadians continue to believe current immigration levels are too high and are contributing to pressure on...
Between October 24 and 29, 2025, Abacus Data surveyed 2,922 Canadian adults about the current political climate. The findings suggest a political environment that remains remarkably stable despite several flashpoints, including Donald Trump’s abrupt withdrawal from trade talks with Canada and Pierre Poilievre’s controversial remarks about the RCMP’s handling of Liberal-linked investigations. With the federal budget set to be tabled...
The research gauged the opinions among Ottawa residents on the Lansdowne Park and the new Lansdowne Park 2.0 project. The purpose of the research was to measure support for Lansdowne 2.0 in low and high information environments as well perceptions of different elements of the proposed project configuration. Nanos conducted a representative non-probability online survey of 764 residents of Ottawa...
As if the Toronto Blue Jays weren’t providing enough drama this October, even the commercial breaks in the World Series have caused the political and economic equivalent of dirt-kicking at the plate. This, after the Ontario government followed through with running an ad featuring former President Ronald Reagan espousing views of tariffs in contradiction to those of current President Donald...
With the 2025 federal budget set for November 4, new polling from Abacus Data for the Toronto Star finds Canadians approaching the budget in a pragmatic, almost weary frame of mind. Few see the deficit as an urgent crisis, and most want the government to steer a steady course, reducing the deficit gradually, without drastic cuts or new taxes that...
The perceptions of Canadians on the existing guidelines that allow medical assistance in dying have not gone through severe fluctuations over the past two years, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative national sample, 52% of Canadians are satisfied with the regulations, up four points since a similar Research Co. poll conducted in...
Just over one in two Canadians strongly agree (15%) or somewhat agree (37%) that diabetes impacts a person’s ability to do certain jobs. Just under two in five strongly disagree (15%) or somewhat disagree (23%) with that statement. Men (59%) and younger Canadians (18-34, 63%) are more likely to strongly agree or somewhat agree that diabetes impacts a person’s ability...
Seven years after cannabis was legalized in Canada, a new survey from Abacus Data conducted for Organigram Global reveals that cannabis has firmly taken root in Canadian society. Cannabis use is widespread across age groups, and the sector is broadly seen as a valuable contributor to the national economy. Most Canadians support the idea of modernizing regulations to help the...
As we enter the prebudget period, the close race between the Liberals and the Conservatives continues. Canadians are most worried about jobs/the economy and Trump/US relations. Carney currently enjoys a comfortable lead over Poilievre when it comes to who Canadians would prefer as prime minister.
A new Liaison Strategies poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) finds Toronto mayor Olivia Chow taking the lead in a potential re-match with former Toronto mayor John Tory. The survey is one of ten city polls released today - other cities include Hamilton, Ottawa, Windsor, Mississauga, Brampton, Vaughan, Kitchener, London and Markham. A full...
Ten new Liaison Strategies surveys of Ontario's largest cities finds the federal Liberals leading in Toronto, Ottawa and Mississauga; while the Conservatives lead in Brampton, Markham and Vaughan. Hamilton, London and Kitchener meanwhile are battlegrounds where parties are separated by just one or two percent. Conducted from October 22 to 23, 2025, using Interactive Voice Response (IVR), the survey polled...
Canadian consumer confidence continues remains fragile, hovering just below 50 on the 100-point consumer confidence index. Notably, Canadians are nearly four times more likely to believe the economy will be weaker over the next six months than those who believe it will be stronger.
As the British Columbia Legislature gears up for this week’s sitting, Conservative Party of B.C. leader John Rustad may well be fervently hoping he can re-position the spotlight from his own troubled leadership back onto the governing BC NDP. But with yet another defection from his caucus last week, plus a letter from the party’s management committee demanding his resignation...
With barely a week to go until the federal government tables its budget, Canadians have a clear message for Ottawa: they do not want another election this year. By a two-to-one margin, Canadians reject the idea that opposition parties should vote against the upcoming budget (and thus trigger an election). Likewise, half of Canadians – including a majority of NDP...
Abacus Data, in partnership with the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), conducted a national survey examining how Canadians are navigating today’s housing crisis. This second release in the series explores the state of homeownership as both a personal goal and a social marker, the growing sense of compromise Canadians feel in pursuit of it, and the kinds of housing solutions...
Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives remain the dominant political force in Ontario, commanding a solid lead over their rivals despite signs that a meaningful segment of their support is more circumstantial than enthusiastic. Our latest survey of 1,000 eligible voters, conducted during a relatively quiet week in Ontario politics, finds the PCs holding at 51%, the Liberals ticking up...
Queen Elizabeth was popular among Canadians, even if the Monarchy became more of a question mark in terms of its relevance to our country, over the years. She persevered through many trials and tribulations with her family, not the least of which was the involvement of her son Andrew with Jeffrey Epstein. More recently, we’ve seen King Charles take some...
The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...